Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.147913 0.164013 0.180494 0.198587 0.217851 0.237707 0.259683
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.125683 0.147943 0.171597 0.198465 0.228001 0.259348 0.295000
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.109930 0.136448 0.165557 0.199588 0.237988 0.279700 0.328157
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.096166 0.125527 0.158751 0.198618 0.244655 0.295674 0.356015
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087638 0.119649 0.156850 0.202496 0.256233 0.316773 0.389415
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.078912 0.112645 0.152881 0.203315 0.263772 0.332918 0.416979
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.071165 0.106111 0.148855 0.203518 0.270148 0.347409 0.442446
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.063806 0.099416 0.144073 0.202308 0.274435 0.359158 0.464519
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.058496 0.094928 0.141671 0.203699 0.281608 0.374156 0.490332
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.055639 0.093469 0.142942 0.209546 0.294161 0.395585 0.523856
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.051136 0.089373 0.140473 0.210374 0.300295 0.409137 0.547898
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.047911 0.086821 0.139846 0.213415 0.309094 0.425891 0.575824
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044141 0.083345 0.137950 0.214904 0.316182 0.440946 0.602288
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.040142 0.079209 0.134900 0.214667 0.320934 0.453057 0.625185
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.036935 0.076025 0.132979 0.215791 0.327348 0.467212 0.650640
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033386 0.071998 0.129612 0.214737 0.330763 0.477506 0.671281
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.031570 0.070630 0.130000 0.218802 0.340917 0.496370 0.702701
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.029059 0.067888 0.128188 0.219655 0.346700 0.509619 0.727095
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.026603 0.065021 0.126018 0.219863 0.351522 0.521586 0.749877
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.024013 0.061678 0.122926 0.218587 0.354209 0.530717 0.769036
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.022244 0.059667 0.121785 0.220049 0.360589 0.544645 0.794344
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.021585 0.059686 0.123837 0.226203 0.373481 0.567175 0.830791
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.019911 0.057595 0.122383 0.227074 0.378984 0.579969 0.854753